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On Today: Dems Happy ‘Too Conservative’ Tea Party Candidate Won Primary

On Wednesday’s Today show NBC’s Matt Lauer, Chuck Todd and Kelly O’Donnell forwarded the Democratic line that Tea Party candidate victories in Republican primaries will be the GOP’s downfall in November. First up Kelly O’Donnell, in a set up piece, claimed: “In Nevada, a big Tea Party victory in the GOP Senate primary…But Democrats are actually cheering Sharron Angle’s win, believing that a Tea Party candidate would be an easier opponent” for Majority Leader Harry Reid. Then, during a post-election analysis segment with Today co-anchor Matt Lauer and NBC News’ political director Chuck Todd, Lauer wondered if the Angle win meant “Democrats have a right to be optimistic” as Todd chimed with “Angle a little too conservative…to appeal to independents potentially” there is now a “path to victory” for Reid. The following takes on the Nevada Senate race were aired on the June 9 Today show: KELLY O’DONNELL: In Nevada, a big Tea Party victory in the GOP Senate primary. SHARRON ANGLE: We need to send a message to Washington, D.C. O’DONNELL: But Democrats are actually cheering Sharron Angle’s win, believing that a Tea Party candidate would be an easier opponent for one of the most vulnerable Democrats, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. ANGLE: We’re ready for the debate! Come on, Harry! Let’s talk about the issues! O’DONNELL: And Sharron Angle really surged at the end and her win was a surprise to many and Democrats now believe that they can use that Tea Party status to paint her as a bit more extreme, and that may help Harry Reid who, for much of this year, has been trailing just about any Republican he was lined up in polls. And so that really sets up Democrats to have a whole new conversation in the months ahead. … MATT LAUER: Alright, in Nevada we’ve got Sharon Angle. Kelly O’Donnell talked about this. CHUCK TODD: Right. LAUER: She’s the Tea Party candidate. She wins, she now faces Harry Reid in November. And, and do the Democrats have a right to be optimistic there? TODD: Well, what they do is they’re just less pessimistic. Harry Reid is not exactly any less vulnerable this morning than he was yesterday before the, before Sharon Angle. The difference is he’s got a path to win dirty. Okay? Nevada has something called “none of the above,” an actual line on the ballot that is “none of the above.” And what both sides expect this race to turn into is a heavy dose of negative ads, both candidates will be unpopular. And what Harry Reid needs is a lot of people, say 8,10 percent of the electorate picking, “You know what? I’m holding my nose to the point of I can’t vote for either of them, I’m gonna vote for none of the above.” And then suddenly he can win with 46 percent or 47 percent. With Sharon Angle a little too conservative for, to appeal to independents potentially, now that’s the Harry Reid path to victory.

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On Today: Dems Happy ‘Too Conservative’ Tea Party Candidate Won Primary

Teen Unemployment: CNBC Reporter Gets Close With ‘Worst in 41 Years’ Tag

In an article published yesterday afternoon, CNBC news associate Joseph Pisani took note of something the rest of the media mostly hasn’t, or at least hasn’t highlighted: the terrible job market for teenagers. The headline and text indicate that this is the worst such market in 41 years. That’s true, based on the stat Pisani presented. But barring a near miracle in the next three months, in terms of the stat that matters most, the unemployment rate, it’s the worst ever. Give the CNBC reporter props for doing something almost no other journalist has done, which is to use the not seasonally adjusted (NSA) employment numbers as his factual source. As I have discussed several times, including here , the reported NSA numbers represent the government’s best estimate of what really happened in a given month, while the seasonally adjusted (SA) numbers published (and appropriately labeled) by the government and reported (but usually not labeled) by the press represent the result after smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. Pisani’s prose proceeds as follows: Teens Face Worst Summer Job Market in 41 Years The kickoff to the summer job season is not looking so hot for teens. Employment among 16-to 19-year olds in May grew by just 6,000, the smallest increase since 1969, when teen jobs fell by 14,000, according to government data analyzed by employment firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. In May 2008 and 2009, teen employment grew by over 110,000. “It’s certainly a preliminary strong indication that it’s going to be a tough job market for teens,” said John Challenger, CEO of Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Jobs traditionally given to teens are apparently going to older workers who are willing to take low paying job to make ends meet. Employment among 20- to 24-year-olds grew by 270,000 in May, an unusual spike, considering that employment in the same age group fell by 261,000 in May 2009. “Also impacting the job market for young adults are the large number of older adults who are willing to accept even a temporary, seasonal position simply to generate some income,” said Steven Rothberg, chief executive officer of CollegeRecruiter.com, an online entry-level job-posting site. “We’re seeing experienced candidates taking jobs normally reserved for college grads and college grads taking jobs normally reserved for college students,” said Rothberg. As noted above, the -6,000 stat and the other monthly figures Pisani cited are from published NSA data (and ultimately from the government’s Bureau of Labor Statistics and not Challenger, Gray & Christmas, but I’m quibbling). That is the correct measurement framework to use. Look at the seasonally adjusted teenage unemployment rate in this graphic , however (using SA numbers is appropriate because the review is over a full-year period), one finds that the average teen unemployment rate in the past 12 months has been 25.95%. The linked graphic goes back to 1948, the earliest available year at the BLS for teen unemployment stats. No other 12-month period going back over 60 years has an average teen unemployment rate of more than 24%. Perhaps it’s too ambitious an endeavor for his assignment, but the CNBC journalist did not consider the possible impact of the crowding out of teens and other less-skilled workers by illegal immigrants. Another blind spot is his failure to deal with the effects of the artificially high federal minimum wage, as well minimum wages in several states that are even higher than Uncle Sam’s rate. But at least Pisani noticed the unprecedentedly awful situation, the kind of thing that I daresay would be causing a much bigger stir if a Republican or conservative were currently occupying the White House. A search at the Associated Press’s main site on “teen unemployment” (not in quotes) came back with one relevant result, a short item by the wire service’s Martin Crutsinger that is primarily a just-the-facts listing of key figures from the BLS’s Friday report. A Google News search on “teen unemployment (using quote) sorted by date returns only 53 items, and very few of them are from national outlets. Some of them tout government-sponsored teen “jobs programs” — sad indeed, given that government policy is primarily what has created the current situation. Cross-posted at .

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Teen Unemployment: CNBC Reporter Gets Close With ‘Worst in 41 Years’ Tag

Video: Arab Media Gives Platform to Woman Who Warns Israeli Women to Leave or Be Raped

As debate has been raging over Israel and the Middle East it is important that we understand how Israel is treated in the region. Here is a video of an Egyptian woman being given a platform on Arab television to threaten that Israeli women should “leave the land” or be “raped.” (Content warning): Make sure you visit this post at the Eyeblast blog for more details on and discussion of the video.

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Video: Arab Media Gives Platform to Woman Who Warns Israeli Women to Leave or Be Raped

Which of Tonight’s Elections is Most Important? (BUMPED – OPEN THREAD)

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Which of Tonight’s Elections is Most Important? (BUMPED – OPEN THREAD)

Bozell Column: Helen’s Hate-Filled Exit

The last two presidents have been elected on the very dubious campaign promise of “changing the tone” of Washington. Either could have proven his sincerity by shredding the press credentials of the White House press corps Dean of Mean, Helen Thomas. Her tone was nasty, and her “questions” usually meant more as insults than as requests for information. Still, presidents and journalists alike bowed and scraped before her, as if she were the Queen of All Media. Her reign ended with an implosion. A rabbi and two high-school kids in yarmulkes exposed Thomas as not merely anti-Israel, but anti-Semitic. Asked her opinion about the Jews at a Jewish heritage event at the White House, this daughter of Lebanese immigrants said they should “get the hell out of Palestine,” and when asked where they should go, she snapped “home” to Germany and Poland, where so many were massacred in the Holocaust. Thomas apologized quickly, then retired from her Hearst column after these remarks. Whether it was voluntary or mandatory is unclear. What is clear, however, is that some in the press returned immediately to kissing her ring. “Few White House correspondents ever achieved her high profile and respectability,” raved Jeremy Peters in the New York Times. “From her coveted seat in the front row of the White House briefing room to her ability to cow even the most hardened White House press secretary, Ms. Thomas was a legend in Washington.” The Helen Thomas “legend” devolved over the last decade after she left UPI, from annoying liberal Reagan-bashing scold to fire-breathing ogre. She bluntly admitted she was a hater in 2002: “I censored myself for 50 years….Now I wake up and ask myself, ‘Who do I hate today?’” Is that the sound of rarified respectability, New York Times? She clearly hated anyone who would wage a war on Islamic radicalism. Thomas sneered at press secretary Ari Fleischer in December of 2001 about President Bush: “I’m taking note of his wide-swinging threats in speeches recently. What makes him think that he has the right to go into a sovereign country and bomb the people?” Before the Iraq war in 2003, she demanded to know “Why does he want to drop bombs on innocent Iraqis?” In her questions, the Americans were always psychotic killers of innocent civilians. Those who awarded her respect often did so because she was one of the first women in the press corps. But honoring this accomplishment came with a hefty price: ignoring the blatant bias of her questions and rudeness of her conduct. Media liberals offered her more than respect. They clearly enjoyed her ranting outbursts from the hard left. When she mocked Bush and American military action, this hater spoke for them, saying the ugly things they wanted said. Washington Post columnist Dana Milbank is a good example. He disparaged her hateful Palestine remarks, but then hailed Thomas for offering “a ferocity to her questioning that has eluded too many in subsequent generations. At a time when others were getting cozy with sources, her crabby, unrelenting hostility was refreshing.” Journalists cherish ferocity and unrelenting hostility – when it comes from journalists. Milbank still fondly recalled how Thomas yelled at President Obama just two weeks ago. “When are you going to get out of Afghanistan?…Why are we continuing to kill and die there? What is the real excuse? And don’t give us this Bushism, ‘If we don’t go there, they’ll all come here.’ ” Milbank did not note the irony from his own newspaper on June 7, with the front-page story about the two aspiring jihadis who were nabbed by the feds in New Jersey as they attempted to travel to Somalia to join the terrorist group al-Shabab. One had said to an undercover cop he would be “doing killing here, if I can’t do it over there.” Helen Thomas thought her opponents were relentlessly dogmatic, but her unjust-war-on-terror narrative never acknowledged some jihadis want to kill us. In fact, they’ve already killed over 3,000 of us. The coverage of her retirement was sickening. ABC, CBS, and NBC all marked her retirement in a very narrow way. There was the offensive clip, and CBS and NBC allowed Obama flack Robert Gibbs to distance the White House from those remarks. But beyond that, the only soundbites came from sympathetic media colleagues, wishing her well. ABC reporter Dan Harris even suggested Thomas should get a break for her Jew-hating, because she’s approaching senility: “After all, many of us have elderly relatives who have lost their verbal filter.” So we should feel sorry for this hater? Helen Thomas is leaving the White House with all the hate she’s been bringing to the grounds for decades. Despite their ill-advised adoration, the White House press corps has been improved by her retirement.

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Bozell Column: Helen’s Hate-Filled Exit