Tag Archives: unemployment

After Bashing Bush on Unemployment, NYT Now Touting ‘Benefits’ of High Unemployment

In late 2009, when high rates of unemployment began looking like a sad fact of life for the foreseeable future, the media started looking for ways to put a positive spin on the situation. Sure, many had predicted the next great depression when unemployment stood at around 6 percent in 2008, but with Democrats in control of the White House and Congress, a number of reporters suddenly found the recession’s many silver linings. “All I Want for Christmas Is a Layoff” read the headline of one ABCNews.com column following employees who would rather get a nice severance package than continue in their dull vocations. Newsweek cheerily noted that since men had been hit harder by the recession than women, they would now be able to help out around the house. The Los Angeles Times coined possibly the most absurd term of the recession to date in ” funemployment ,” and discussed jobless Americans who prefer “hitting the beach” to “punching the clock.” Now the New York Times is celebrating the fact that the 90.5 percent of those who are employed are seeing a pleasant rise in their wages. See, the recession’s not that bad. After the obligatory introduction – a few paragraphs lamenting those Americans who have lost their jobs – the Times started searching for the upside: But since this recent recession began in December 2007, real average hourly pay has risen nearly 5 percent. Some employers, especially state and local governments, have cut wages. But many more employers have continued to increase pay. Something similar happened during the Great Depression, notes Bruce Judson of the Yale School of Management. Falling prices meant that workers who held their jobs received a surprisingly strong effective pay raise. This time around, nominal wages – the numbers people see in their paychecks – have risen throughout the slump, as companies have passed along some of the impressive productivity to their (remaining) workers. Meanwhile, inflation has been almost non-existent, except for parts of last year, when real wages did briefly fall. Obviously, real wages could begin falling again if inflation picks up or more employers cut pay. And many workers are already struggling with big debts and diminished 401(k) accounts. Still, the contrast is pretty stark. The typical jobless person has been out of work six months. The typical worker has received a raise. Yes, the typical worker has received a raise. In fact, fewer than ten percent do not have a job. Say, why isn’t anyone giving Obama credit for the 90.5 percent employment rate? After all, the typical person is still employed. During the Bush years, the Times was of course more concerned about actual employment during a recession. Throughout 2002, the paper bemoaned the “jobless recovery” – despite the fact that the unemployment rate was never more than two percent below pre-recession levels. The Times shunned good news outright, favoring to report the more glum details of the nation’s economic outlook. “Employers Balk at New Hirings, Despite Growth,” was a headline typical of the Times’s attitude. Paul Krugman consistently opined on the ” jobless recovery ,” and some Times reporters speculated that government accounting tricks had shielded the public from seeing just how bad the economy was. The recession beginning in late 2001, though less severe than the one in which the country finds itself now, lasted a good deal longer than this one has lasted so far, as you can see in this graph, courtesy of Calculated Risk .   That is not to say that the 2001 recession more serious. As you can see, our current economic downturn is much deeper, and if it continues on its current trajectory may last even longer than the early-2000s recession. It does mean, however, that the New York Times had ample opportunity to ponder all the benefits of recession economics in an economic environment that was far less severe than the current one. I wonder why we were never informed of all the upsides.

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After Bashing Bush on Unemployment, NYT Now Touting ‘Benefits’ of High Unemployment

Keith Olbermann Revises History to Praise Clinton and Bash Gingrich

Keith Olbermann on Monday revised history to praise former President Bill Clinton and bash former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. In the opening segment of MSNBC’s “Countdown,” the host railed against a proposal by Republicans to once again reintroduce the balanced budget amendment. Olbermann pointed out to his tiny audience that this was “also pushed by then Speaker Newt Gingrich as part of the 1994 Contract With America.” With total disregard for historical facts, the “Countdown” host continued, “Gingrich failed to pass it, President Clinton raised taxes, balanced the budget, created 22 million jobs” (video follows with transcript and commentary): KEITH OLBERMANN: Sick of Democrats accusing them of having nothing to improve the economy but ideas from the Bush era, Republicans are planning to introduce instead a bold new initiative from the Gingrich era. Our fifth story tonight, it’s called the balanced budget amendment, but it’s real objective is to protect the rich from tax cuts, and without those tax cuts, Republicans will not tell us how they would balance the budget, even if they do give us a few hints, as you’ll see. It was Republican Senator Jim Demint telling the newspaper The Hill that when Congress returns after the August recess, he and his colleagues, including John McCain and Lindsey Graham, will introduce a resolution to amend the U. S. Constitution. The balanced budget amendment, also pushed by then Speaker Newt Gingrich as part of the 1994 Contract With America, would prevent the federal government from spending more than it takes in. But, and there is the rub, it also has a clause barring any tax increases without a two-thirds vote in each chamber of Congress. Gingrich failed to pass it, President Clinton raised taxes, balanced the budget, created 22 million jobs. Really? Well, first of all, Clinton’s tax hikes were part of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993. Gingrich didn’t become Speaker until January 1995. Nice try, Keith. But it gets worse, for what Olbermann conveniently omitted – like so many media members are currently doing to misinform the public about the difference between Republican and Democrat tax policies – was that Gingrich and the Republican Congress forced Clinton to sign the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997 which cut taxes. This was when the economy really took off as the GDP grew by 4.4 percent in 1997, 4.5 percent in 1998, 4.8 percent in 1999, and 4.1 percent in 2000. During this period, employers added over 12 million workers to their payrolls. As for the budget being balanced, this also occurred after the 1997 tax cuts in years 1998 through 2001. With this in mind, one seriously has to wonder whether the folks at General Electric and NBC consider this kind of shoddy reporting acceptable on their cable news network. Consider that just a few minutes later, a regular guest on MSNBC, Arianna Huffington, showed an absolutely staggering ignorance of business, taxes, and economics. Two hours earlier, MSNBC host Ed Schultz completely misrepresented the causes of the government shutdown in November 1995. Exit question: would any other corporation in America tolerate such negligence from high-profile employees without at least a reprimand? 

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Keith Olbermann Revises History to Praise Clinton and Bash Gingrich

CNN’s Unemployment Error: Kyra Phillips Misreports 60,000 Jobs ‘Vanished’ in July; Actual Decline Was 131,000

CNN “Newsroom” anchor Kyra Phillips reported the ” breaking news ” about July’s unemployment data just after 9 a.m. Aug. 6. Misreported would be more accurate. “We begin with the breaking news this morning on a broken economy. We have new evidence of just how feeble the recovery is and how many Americans have nothing to show for it,” Phillips said. “The nation’s unemployment rate has remained flat at a disheartening 9.5 percent. Just last month 60,000 jobs vanished, the news is bad, but not quite as bad as we expected.” Actually, the news was worse than Phillips reported. The U.S. lost more than twice that many jobs in July: 131,000 according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The BLS also revised June data after finding an additional 96,000 lost jobs (June’s total losses 221,000). The private sector did increase hiring by 71,000 in July, which appears to be what confused CNN, but not enough to offset jobs losses. That brings the total private sector hiring since President Obama took office to 705,000 (June and July gains may still be revised). Obama has fallen far short of his jobs claims . On Jan. 10, 2009, Obama pledged to create or save 3 million to 4 million jobs. “Ninety percent of these jobs will be created in the private sector ,” Obama continued. To fulfill that promise, the president needs to create 2.7 million to 3.6 million private sector jobs, but will massive job losses during 2009 he is in the hole by more than 3 million. Adding the 3,224,000 private sector jobs needed to get the U.S. back to where it was before February 2009 to the 2.7 million jobs he promised to create: Obama is 5,924,000 jobs away from his goal. Like this article? Then sign up for our newsletter, The Balance Sheet .

ABC’s Claire Shipman Laments Lack of Political Will to Extend Unemployment Benefits Beyond 99 Weeks

Good Morning America’s Claire Shipman on Tuesday delivered a one-sided report on unemployment benefits and the fact that they end after 99 weeks. Reporting on those who have reached the limit, the so-called “99ers,” she asserted, “… There’s no hope in sight right now .” Shipman featured three clips of those who are at the cap and one of Democrat Debbie Stabenow, who is advocating for an extension. However, the ABC morning show found no time for anyone with the opinion that nearly two years of unemployment benefits is enough. Instead, Shipman offered only stories of struggling people who have reached the 99 week limit: “We found a demoralized construction worker at loose ends at home for four years, while his wife works. A school a administrator who was rejected for a job at McDonald’s. And an accounts specialist, unemployed for two years, now living in a shelter with her four children.” The only mention of opposition came in a brief mention at the end of the segment. Shipman fretted, “But with Republicans arguing so strongly that even this bill is fiscally irresponsible, there’s no political consensus right now on helping the 99ers.” A transcript of the July 20 segment, which aired at 7:12am EDT, follows: GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS: We’re going to turn to the jobs crisis . As we said, the Senate is expected to vote to extend unemployment benefits later today. And after three failed attempts, it looks like Senate Democrats should get the legislation passed this time. But that is little comfort to the long-term unemployed who have passed the maximum time to receive benefits . Claire Shipman has their story. And, Claire, they’re called the 99ers because all benefits run out after 99 weeks. And their ranks are growing. CLAIRE SHIPMAN: George, their ranks are growing. And their anger and frustration is growing, because while this bill will help unemployed- extend the 26 weeks of benefits [sic], if you’ve been out of work for two years or more, if you’re a 99er, there’s no hope in sight right now. President Obama, in a Rose Garden offensive, surrounded by unemployed Americans. BARACK OBAMA: They’re not looking for a handout. They desperately want to work. Just right now, they can’t find a job. SHIPMAN: Almost 15 million Americans are out of work. But most striking, almost half of that number are the long-term unemployed. A level that hasn’t been seen since the Great Depression. The hardest-luck cases, the so-called 99ers, who exhausted the maximum 99 weeks of unemployment benefits. Today’s legislation does not extend that limit. [Walking with Senator Debbie Stabenow] Is there a solution for the 99ers? Michigan Senator Debbie Stabenow has become a tireless advocate for the unemployed. SEN. DEBBIE STABENOW (D-MI): These are people who paid their taxes and followed the rules. They are in a situation not of their making. To say, well, we’re tired of this. We think we’ll, you know, not do it anymore. It is outrageous to me. SHIPMAN: And the 99ers offer a distinctly new demographic portrait of the unemployed. Many are professional, middle-aged, and totally unprepared for this turn . We found a demoralized construction worker at loose ends at home for four years, while his wife works. A school a administrator who was rejected for a job at McDonald’s. And an accounts specialist, unemployed for two years, now living in a shelter with her four children. MIGNON VEASLEY-FIELDS: We are sinking. We are dying now. We’re losing everything we have. And now I may lose my home because I have no money. MICHAEL OVERHOLT: The wife comes home and I’m sitting here. You feel like you’re not worth anything. UNIDENTIFIED WOMAN: I’m about as low as I can get. SHIPMAN: Now, their numbers are growing so quickly, some economists argue, George, that without helping them, that will hurt economic recovery. But with Republicans arguing so strongly that even this bill is fiscally irresponsible, there’s no political consensus right now on helping the 99ers.

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ABC’s Claire Shipman Laments Lack of Political Will to Extend Unemployment Benefits Beyond 99 Weeks

ABC’s George Stephanopoulos Grills Michele Bachmann: Will Tea Party ‘Undermine’ GOP Chances?

One day after suggesting that terrorist attacks during Barack Obama’s watch be ” set aside ,” Good Morning America’s George Stephanopoulos grilled Michelle Bachmann, forcing her to respond for every supposed crime of the Tea Party movement. The former Democratic operative wondered if being “more formally aligned with the Tea Party” movement could ” undermine Republicans chances of taking the House back in November .” He then quizzed, “What did you think when you saw that billboard, comparing the President to Hitler and Lenin?” In contrast, during Iraq war protests, vulgar, sometimes violent signs held up by liberals were routinely ignored by journalists. Yet, Stephanopoulos berated the Minnesota representative, “You yourself had to distance yourself last fall from members of the Tea Party that were using Holocaust imagery.” Earlier in the piece, the GMA host hit Bachmann for suggesting that extension of unemployment benefits should be paid for. He asserted, “The tax cuts passed by President Bush are set to expire at the end of the year. I know you want to extend them. Do you support paying for those, as well?” Asking a politician to be consistent on how to pay for their programs and policy beliefs is fair. It’s just too bad that reporters rarely ask Democrats how they will pay for things or what programs should be cut. A transcript of the segment, which aired at 7:09am EDT, follows: GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS: For more on this, we are going to turn to the founder of the brand new Tea Party caucus in the House, Republican Congressman Michele Bachman of Minnesota. Thanks for joining us this morning, Congresswoman. And let’s get right to this unemployment debate. President Obama, you saw that offensive in the Rose Garden yesterday, very tough on your party. He took on those who, he said, have no problems on spending hundreds of billions of dollars on tax breaks for the wealthiest of Americans. But are now saying we shouldn’t offer relief to the middle class Americans. How do you respond? MICHELE BACHMANN: Well, the best way to offer a relief to the middle class is to have a pro-job growth economy. And that’s not what the President has laid forth in his strategy. Republicans are not opposed to unemployment benefits, hardly. We’re looking at $34 billion in unemployment. But, remember, it was Democrats that made a big deal of the concept of pay-go. They said they would not spend money unless they made cuts in other places. Neither the President, nor Speaker Pelosi has made an attempt to cut spending in order to pay for the benefits. This is a basic function of government. And, so, it’s important that they find other cuts in other places. But instead, George, what we’ve seen, they’ve continued to expand the long line of benefits in other areas. We need to make first things first. STEPHANOPOULOS: Let’s take a look at that principle. The tax cuts passed by President Bush are set to expire at the end of the year. I know you want to extend them. Do you support paying for those, as well? BACHMANN: I think we need to be paying for all of the spending that’s going out. But when people are able to keep more of their own money, that shouldn’t be considered a cost. STEPHANOPOULOS: So, that’s a no? BACHMANN: Well, I think what we need to do is have a pro-job growth formula. And, really, what that is, cut the dramatic government spending that has happened. This didn’t happen in a vacuum. President obama spent over $1 trillion on stimulus. We were all promised that about four million jobs would be created. Instead, about four million jobs were lost. Then, President Obama decided to take over, through either direct ownership or control, one private industry after another. What we’ve learned is that the federal government takeover of private business leads to unemployment, not employment. STEPHANOPOULOS: Let me be clear then- BACHMANN: Your story’s accurate. People want jobs. That’s true. They don’t want unemployment. But the government’s policies have brought about failure in private job creation. STEPHANOPOULOS: But, to be clear, you’re saying the tax cuts don’t have to be paid for. But this unemployment extension does. Let me turn to the new Tea Party caucus that was formed. You said it was designed to promote fiscal responsibility, adherence to the Constitution and limited government. I’m wondering, why do you think it’s necessary? Are leaders in the House not living up to that responsibility? BACHMANN: Well, what we’ve been hearing from people all over the country, George, is that Congress is not listening to the American people. This is a forum for members of Congress to be able to listen to what people have been trying to tell us. And it is very simple. It’s a banner that comes under the idea of don’t spend more than what you’re taking in. People want the federal government to live just the way they do. And they want us to adhere to principles of the Constitution, because people believe they’re taxed enough already. This isn’t a political party, like the Republican Party or Democrat Party. It’s a set of ideas that, after all, members of Congress, swore that they would uphold under the Constitution. STEPHANOPOULOS: You also run the risk of taking in the controversy that comes with the Tea Party, as well. We all saw the billboard in northern Iowa last week, comparing President Obama to Hitler and Lenin. The broader movement had to expel the Chairman of the Tea Party Express this weekend for making racist comments. You yourself had to distance yourself last fall from members of the Tea Party that were using Holocaust imagery. Are you worried that being more formally aligned with the Tea Party, you might undermine Republicans chances of taking the House back in November? BACHMANN: Well, what I think what we’re trying to do more than anything, again, is to give a forum to the ideas that people have tried to talk to us about. Most of the people who came to Washington, to rallies, and to town hall meetings across the country, are just trying to get the attention of Congress to say, would you please stop spending money that you don’t have. Because, the money is our money. That’s what the people are saying. These are lawyers, doctors, small business owners, housewives, farmers. People from all walks of life, just saying, please, federal government, get your act together. And start acting in a way that will not leave us bankrupt and will create a pro-growth agenda here in America. STEPHANOPOULOS: We only have a few seconds. What did you think when you saw that billboard, comparing the President to Hitler and Lenin? BACHMANN: Well, you know, some things aren’t helpful going forward. And to focus on the ideas of a pro-growth economy, living within our means, that’s positive. That’s what we hope to do in this caucus.

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ABC’s George Stephanopoulos Grills Michele Bachmann: Will Tea Party ‘Undermine’ GOP Chances?

Maddow: Extending Unemployment Benefits ‘Most Stimulative Thing You Can Do’

Channeling her inner Nancy Pelosi, Rachel Maddow on Sunday actually said extending unemployment benefits is “the most stimulative thing you can do” to help the ailing economy. Appearing on the panel discussion of NBC’s “Meet the Press,” Maddow boldly presented a liberal view of economics that only the current House Speaker would be proud of. “I think that most Americans also, though, understand the basic arithmetic that when you’re talking about pushing tax cuts that do mostly benefit the wealthy and you’re simultaneously talking about getting tough on the deficit, you’re talking about a world in which math doesn’t work the way most people think it works.” Indeed, for moments before she falsely stated that Obama inherited a $1.3 trillion deficit. But Maddow’s best remark Sunday had to be, “If you really want a stimulus, do what we — what’s proven to work in stimulus, which is things like extending unemployment benefits…It’s the most stimulative thing you can do” (video follows with transcript and commentary): RACHEL MADDOW, MSNBC HOST: Well, you end, you end up with the situation which again you’re back to choice vs. referendum because Republicans, like great strategists like Mr. Gillespie, can argue about how it’s all about spending, it’s all about debt. But it’s not just talking about the past to say, “When Republicans have had the reins, this is what they’ve done: two wars not paid for, prescription drug benefit not paid for, two tax cuts that mostly benefited the rich not paid for.” They put all that stuff on the deficit, $1.3 trillion sitting there as–in a deficit when Obama took over, after the previous Democratic president had handed him a surplus. If you talk about–if Republicans want to run as this fiscally responsible party, it’s neat, but it’s novel. It’s not how they’ve actually governed. DAVID GREGORY, HOST: And, David, you know, more on that argument, though. I spoke to senior Republicans this week in the party who said, “Look, sometimes we are afraid that we do take the majority back because are we, as Republicans, in a position to offer a policy for how to grow the economy, to offer real policies to create jobs?” There’s a lot of fear out there that, in fact, they don’t have great alternatives at the moment to be able to do that. DAVID BROOKS, NEW YORK TIMES: Yeah, I, I actually agree with that. I’m a little scared myself. You know, you look at what happened in Britain, the Conservative party took over after a long period out of power. They, they have a real austerity program. They’re really cutting spending, putting the country, which was much worse debt shape than us, on a long-term path to some sort of fiscal sanity. I’m not sure the Republicans are ready there, so I’m a little nervous about that. But the question people are going to ask us is, “What did President Obama offer, and are we satisfied with that?” And they’re not getting there. And to me the big picture is that if Harry Hopkins, the great liberal from FDR’s administration, came back and said, “I’m going to create a perfect liberal moment. We’re going to have a big financial crisis caused by Wall Street, sort of; we’re going to have the biggest natural disaster in American history caused by an oil company; we’re going to have a very talented Democratic president; we’re going to give him some money to spend to create a lot of programs.” And after all that, it’s still not a liberal moment, it’s a conservative moment, that makes me think liberalism isn’t quite going to sell in this country at any moment. If it’s not selling now, it’ll never sell. And I think… MR. GREGORY: But doesn’t that assume that this is a conservative moment? Do you assume that? ED GILLESPIE, REPUBLICAN STRATEGIST: Oh, I think, I think there’s a great opportunity for conservative policies, and I think the public is open to hearing from us on that. And I just disagree with David. Look, in New Jersey and Virginia, we have two Republican governors just been elected, one in a purple state, Virginia, one in a deep blue state, or at least royal blue, New Jersey, who are acting on what they said they would do, they’re governing as they campaigned. In New Jersey, Governor Christie is trying to change the tailspin, turn things around in New Jersey, taking on the government employee unions there. In Virginia, Bob McDonnell as governor eliminated a $4.2 billion deficit, the largest in the history of the Commonwealth of Virginia. We will govern as we said we would. And I think, you know, Harold just pointed to these rising capital gains taxes and dividend taxes. You can call them tax increases on the, on the wealthy. I think most will say it’s tax increases on investment at a time when we need to be creating jobs. They’re going to kick in January 1, 2011. The first thing Republicans will do is say, “No. We’re going to keep them in place for a while until we can get the economy growing again.” And I think most Americans reject the notion that spending equals jobs. They think spending equals temporary government jobs. MS. MADDOW: I think that, I think that most Americans also, though, understand the basic arithmetic that when you’re talking about pushing tax cuts that do mostly benefit the wealthy and you’re simultaneously talking about getting tough on the deficit, you’re talking about a world in which math doesn’t work the way most people think it works. If you’re going to talk about tax cuts–I mean, Harold, you, as a Democrat, proposed some very significant tax cuts when you were thinking about running for Senate in, in New York, a huge corporate tax cut, a big payroll tax holiday, and then said simultaneously, “And we got to get serious about the deficit.” HAROLD FORD, FORMER DEMOCRAT REPRESENTATIVE FROM TENNESSEE: Well, Rachel, in all fairness, the payroll tax… MS. MADDOW: Tax cuts hurt the deficit. REP. FORD: Right. But the payroll tax cut–in order to, in order to pay down the debt, you got to do two things. You got to get your spending in order and you got to grow. When Bill Clinton was in office, the real advantage we had was that the economy grew. They made–they took–they made some tough choices around spending. I was in Congress for a good part of that. But at the same time, we had this IT explosion and growth in the country, which created millions of jobs. My only point is, if you cut the payroll tax for small businesses, you keep money in those communities. If you really want a stimulus, cut the payroll tax at a hardware store, cut the payroll tax at a sundry, cut the payroll tax at a… MS. MADDOW: If you really want, if you really want a stimulus, do what we–what’s proven to work in stimulus, which is things like extending unemployment benefits, which is something that Republicans are completely blocking. REP. FORD: Which I… MR. GREGORY: But let me, let me… MS. MADDOW: It’s the most stimulative thing you can do. Yep. She really reiterated one of the most inane statements ever uttered by a House Speaker in American history: Does Maddow actually BELIEVE that unemployment benefits stimulate the economy, or was she just mimicking Pelosi and repeating Democrat talking points? Before you answer, consider the absurdity in her other comment concerning Obama inheriting a $1.3 trillion deficit.  After all, on March 14, 2008, then Sen. Obama voted in favor of the 2009 budget which authorized $3.1 trillion in federal outlays along with a projected $400 billion deficit. The 51-44 vote that morning was strongly along party lines with only two Republicans saying “Yes.” When the final conference report was presented to the House on June 5, not one Republican voted for it. This means the 2009 budget was almost exclusively approved by Democrats, with “Yeas” coming from current President then Sen. Obama, his current Vice President then Sen. Joe Biden, his current Chief of Staff then Rep. Rahm Emanuel, and his current Secretary of State then Sen. Hillary Clinton. As such, when Maddow says, “They put all that stuff on the deficit, $1.3 trillion sitting there as — in a deficit when Obama took over,” the “They” were Democrats INCLUDING Obama.   How is this possibly something he inherited when his Party ramrodded the original budget through Congress with virtually no Republican approval — save Bush’s signature, of course — and the highest members of the current Administration — including the president himself!!! — supported it when they were either in the Senate or the House? Sadly, Maddow’s math doesn’t incorporate this inconvenient truth. But that’s just the beginning, for on October 1, 2008, Obama, Biden, and Clinton voted in favor of the $700 billion Troubled Assets Relief Program designed to prevent teetering financial institutions from completely destroying the economy. Couldn’t Obama only disavow responsibility for this if he had voted no along with the other 25 Senators disapproving the measure? And what about the $787 billion stimulus bill that passed in February 2009 with just three Republican votes? Wouldn’t Obama only be blameless if he vetoed it and was later overridden? Of course, he didn’t, and, instead signed it into law on February 17. Nor did he veto the $410 billion of additional spending Congress sent to his desk three weeks later. Add it all up, and Obama approved every penny spent in fiscal 2009 either via his votes in the Senate or his signature as President. That Maddow has the gall on national television to blame this on Republicans is the height of hypocrisy. But what are you going to expect from a woman that believes unemployment benefits stimulate the economy? 

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Maddow: Extending Unemployment Benefits ‘Most Stimulative Thing You Can Do’

Calls to ‘Rein in the Federal Government’ Are ‘Not Very Rational,’ Al Hunt Declares on ABC

“The side that talks about the need to rein in the federal government” is “not very rational,” yet “is winning” the debate over whether to pass another “stimulus” bill, Al Hunt regretted on Sunday’s This Week on ABC. The former Washington Bureau Chief for the Wall Street Journal, who’s Washington Editor for Bloomberg where he hosts Bloomberg TV’s Political Capital show, fretted over how “right now, that argument – that we have to rein in because the stimulus didn’t work — well, I think most economists would say the stimulus did work in the sense it would have been a lot worse if there hadn’t been one.” Hunt’s assessment came in reaction to an outnumbered Dan Senor, the lone voice on the panel against additional government spending to spur the economy and who warned of a Greece in our future. New York Times columnist Paul Krugman charged the 2009 stimulus bill wasn’t big enough and proposed that in the face of a likely $20 trillion debt in ten years, “whether we borrow another $500 billion now” is “really trivial,” Cynthia Tucker of the Atlanta Constitution yearned for a new “robust stimulus” and Jorge Ramos of Univision declared: “We need more government intervention.” Hunt ( columns ), however, took aim at the rationality of anyone opposed to massive additional government spending, as he expounded on the July 4 This Week: AL HUNT: I think the fundamental problem here, Jake [Tapper], and Dan [Senor] I think what you’re talking about is five, seven, ten years out, not right now. We can’t walk and chew gum at the same time. We ought to be dealing with long-term deficits in the long-term, and short-term stimulus, which this incredibly sluggish economy needs right now. The politics just are lousy, though Jake. I don’t know if it’s Republicans, if it’s conservative Democrats, but the side that talks about the need to rein in the federal government – this is not very rational, has really, is winning that debate. And when you talk to people about the stimulus, Paul [Krugman] may be right there should have been a bigger stimulus. Barack Obama thinks there should have been a bigger stimulus. The reason there wasn’t is you couldn’t get it through even a year ago. I mean, meet Ben Nelson, but- JAKE TAPPER: Or Susan Collins or Olympia Snowe or Arlen Specter. HUNT: But right now, that argument – that we have to rein in because the stimulus didn’t work — well, I think most economists would say the stimulus did work in the sense it would have been a lot worse if there hadn’t been one. But when people talk about the stimulus, they associate it with bank bailouts and auto bailouts which had nothing to do with this. From April: “ Bloomberg Editor Al Hunt Attacks Tea Partiers: ‘That’s Not America ‘”

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Calls to ‘Rein in the Federal Government’ Are ‘Not Very Rational,’ Al Hunt Declares on ABC

AP Quietly Lowers the ‘Normal’ Unemployment Bar to 6%

Those looking for evidence that there a move afoot in the establishment press to lower the bar for whatever economic accomplishments might be accomplished during the Obama administration will be interested in how the Associated Press’s report on the government’s June jobs report defined “normal” unemployment. Perhaps it’s valid for reporters Jeannine Aversa and Christopher Rugaber to refer to 6% unemployment as “normal,” if by that they mean “typical non-recessionary” or “long-term average” unemployment. But I couldn’t help but remember that during the Bush 43 and Reagan years, unemployment rates just above and occasionally even below that level were described by wire service reporters and other journalists as “persistent unemployment” — i.e., decidedly not “normal.” I quickly found several AP and other reports from those eras that confirmed my recall of what is now a demonstrated double standard. Here is the opening sentence from the AP report , followed by the term-redefining paragraph: A second straight month of lackluster hiring by American businesses is sapping strength from the economic rebound. … Unemployment is expected to stay above 9 percent through the midterm elections in November. And the Fed predicts joblessness could still be as high as 7.5 percent two years from now. Normal is considered closer to 6 percent , and economists say it will probably take until the middle of this decade to achieve that. “Closer to 6%” seems to imply that “normal” is really “slightly above” that level.  It’s legitimate to question whether there has really been an economic rebound when people who are looking for work aren’t finding it and so many others have abandoned their quest. The truth is that the number of people reported as working according to the Establishment Survey in yesterday’s Employment Situation Report is lower than it was a year ago , when the recession as normal people define it ended. It’s also worth remembering, assisted by an updated version of the indispensable chart from Innocents Bystanders , that the administration predicted that its stimulus plan would return the economy to the AP’s new “normal” by the first quarter of 2012, three years earlier than “the middle of this decade”: Oops. Here are some previous examples of situations described by the establishment press as “persistent unemployment”: October 7, 2003 — Both an AP story and an item at USA Today on California’s recall election told readers that “Californians face an $8 billion state budget deficit, persistent unemployment and struggling schools.” The Golden State’s unemployment rate in September 2003 was 6.4% . June 13, 2003 — A Reuters report on consumer sentiment relayed that “Consumer sentiment deteriorated sharply in early June, suggesting persistent unemployment is taking its toll on Americans’ expectations for the economy’s future.” The national unemployment rate in May 2003 was 6.1% . April 4, 2004 — A Fox News item to which AP contributed claimed that “there is evidence that persistent unemployment, despite other signs of a recovering economy, is taking its toll on the president’s popularity.” On April 2, the government reported a national unemployment rate of 5.7% . Going back further, in a March 29, 1987 book review at the New York Times (“No Time for Radicals”), Michael Janeway wrote this of author Robert Lekachman: “Under Ronald Reagan, the author writes, no god but that of the marketplace is worshiped, yielding ‘privatization, militarization, persistent unemployment, de-unionization, middle-class shrinkage, and the triumph of plutocracy.’ Mr. Lekachman’s cases in point, when backed by fact and figure, make for an intelligently passionate brief against the Reagan Administration.” Janeway didn’t dispute the factual accuracy of Lekachman’s claim about “persistent unemployment, which at the time was 6.5% . Gosh, who knew that “normal” was only a half-point or less below that of “a mean society”? But what was once “persistent unemployment” is now “normal.” No double standard there (/sarcasm). Oh, wait a minute. Maybe the AP pair is subtly informing us that as long as the Obama administration is in power and Democrats control Congress, “persistent unemployment” will be “normal.” If so, guys, thanks for letting us know. Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com.

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AP Quietly Lowers the ‘Normal’ Unemployment Bar to 6%

NYT’s Herbert: Obama and Democrats Wasted Once In a Lifetime Opportunity

Add New York Times columnist Bob Herbert to the growing list of liberal media members realizing that Barack Obama’s campaign slogan “Hope and Change” was nothing but a great sales pitch. “Mr. Obama and the Democrats have wasted the once-in-a-lifetime opportunity handed to them in the 2008 election,” wrote Herbert Tuesday. “They did not focus on jobs, jobs, jobs as their primary mission.”  No, they sure didn’t. Instead, they worked on a stimulus package that has done nothing but add to the debt, a healthcare bill that WILL do nothing but add to the debt, and a cap and trade bill that if ever passed will cost jobs in virtually every industry. As Herbert continued, he surprisingly noted how disappointed Americans are in the failure of this administration to do what the country needed most: Mr. Obama had campaigned on the mantra of change, and that would have been the kind of change that working people could have gotten behind. But it never happened. Job creation was the trump card in the hand held by Mr. Obama and the Democrats, but they never played it. And now we’re paying a fearful price. The Obama administration feels it should get a great deal of credit for its economic stimulus efforts, its health care initiative, its financial reform legislation, its vastly increased aid to education and so forth. And maybe if we were grading papers, there would be a fair number of decent marks to be handed out. By nearly 2 to 1, respondents to the most recent New York Times/CBS News poll believed the United States is on the wrong track…Fifty-four percent of respondents believed he does not have a clear plan for creating jobs. Only 45 percent approved of his overall handling of the economy, compared with 48 percent who disapproved.  It’s not too late for the president to turn things around, but there is no indication that he has any plan or strategy for doing it. Truth be told, he never did. “Hope and Change” wasn’t a plan for anything. It was a dream spun by a very well-spoken, charismatic man that liberal media members like Herbert fell in love with and married on Election Day 2008. Conservatives across the fruited plain tried to convince folks before the wedding that they were being sold a magic elixir by an astonishingly unqualified person that had never created a job for another human being in his entire life and didn’t have the slightest idea how. But love is blind, so much so that Herbert and his ilk assisted this man in selling the dream to others. Now that the fantasy has turned into a nightmare, we can only hope that folks like Herbert who are beginning to realize they were taken will be more concerned for their nation and their fellow citizens than the Party they support. After all, the Democrats have controlled Congress for three and half years, and the White House for seventeen months. Is the country better off today than it was in January 2007? Or January 2009? Are we any closer to a path that leads us to both answers being “Yes?” If not, and folks like Herbert are starting to realize it albeit it kicking and screaming, then maybe they should consider a divorce. This shouldn’t be tough for liberals – they do it all the time. 

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NYT’s Herbert: Obama and Democrats Wasted Once In a Lifetime Opportunity

George Will Schools NYT’s Sanger: Extending Unemployment Benefits Doesn’t Stimulate Economy

George Will on Sunday gave a much-needed economics lesson to New York Times Washington correspondent David Sanger that greatly demonstrated the difference between how conservatives and liberals view unemployment benefits. As the Roundtable segment of ABC’s “This Week” shifted to the G20 summit in Toronto, Sanger said, “Just the day before [Barack Obama] left, Congress could not come to an agreement on a very small extension of unemployment benefits, you know, the most basic stimulus effort that the President tried to push.” Host Jake Tapper asked, “George, why can’t they pass this extension?” With the ball sitting up nicely on the tee, Will smacked it out of the park (video follows with transcript and commentary, relevant section at 4:10):   DAVID SANGER, NEW YORK TIMES: The President’s also in the position in Canada of saying, “Don’t do as I do, do as I say.” I mean, just the day before he left, Congress could not come to an agreement on a very small extension of unemployment benefits, you know, the most basic stimulus effort that the President tried to push. JAKE TAPPER, HOST: 1.2 Million Americans are going to lose their unemployment extensions, or unemployment benefits this week. SANGER: That’s right. So there’s a fundamental stimulus action and the President had to go up and tell the Europeans they were not doing enough for stimulus. TAPPER: George, why can’t they pass this extension? I don’t understand. The Republicans say, “Let spending cuts should pay for this.” The Democrats say, “No, it’s emergency spending.” It seems that this is something where there could be a compromise. GEORGE WILL: Well, partly because they believe that when you subsidize something, you get more of it, and we’re subsidizing unemployment. That is the long-term unemployment, those unemployed more than six months is at an all-time high. And they want, they do not think that it is stimulative because what stimulates is the consumer and the saver’s sense of permanent income. And everyone knows that unemployment benefits are not permanent income. Indeed. Unfortunately, much of America’s media have the same misconception that extending unemployment benefits helps the economy.  Of course, nothing could be further from the truth for those receiving such benefits aren’t going to increase they’re spending because they don’t know how long they’ll be unemployed. Beyond this, they feel little need to get back into the workforce until their benefits expire. This means that despite what folks like Sanger believe and write about, extending unemployment benefits has no economically stimulative impact.  As such, calling this extension an economic stimulus is like calling an ox a bull: he’s thankful for the compliment, but would much rather have back what is rightfully his. Nice job, George. 

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George Will Schools NYT’s Sanger: Extending Unemployment Benefits Doesn’t Stimulate Economy