Tag Archives: poll

Poll: Obama Beats Any Republican in 2012

His party got hammered in the midterm election, he's taking heat for compromising with Republicans on taxes and his approval levels are hovering around 45 percent, but a new survey concludes President Obama's prospects for re-election in 2012 are fairly strong. The Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll out Thursday finds while only 42 percent of respondents say they'd probably vote for the president if he runs again, just 39 percent say they'd vote for a Republican. Ten percent say it depends who the GOP opponent is. But when you put a Republican name into the equation, the numbers change — in favor of Obama. The president leads former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 47 to 40 percent. Sen. John Thune of South Dakota trails by 20 points, 47 to 27 percent. The president leads former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin 55 to 33 percent. NBC says that 22 percent spread is “an indication that the former Republican vice presidential nominee remains a polarizing figure who actually wins support for Mr. Obama.” The survey finds that nearly three-quarters of Americans personally like the president, even if they don't agree with his stands on the issues. Democratic pollster Peter Hart tells NBC the White House can see this poll as a pretty good review at the half-way point of his first term. “From my point of view, this poll is anything but a lump of coal in the president's Christmas stocking,” said Hart, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff. “But there is a lot of work to be done.” McInturff concludes Obama “retains very strong numbers with a political core constituency.” Another poll out Thursday gauged Obama's re-election chances in eight swing states, most of which he won in 2008: Montana, Virginia, North Carolina, Missouri, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Ohio. The Public Policy Polling survey found the president's chances remain good in each state, with Romney the potential candidate who could put up the best fight for Republicans. added by: TimALoftis

Poll: Obama Beats Any Republican in 2012

His party got hammered in the midterm election, he's taking heat for compromising with Republicans on taxes and his approval levels are hovering around 45 percent, but a new survey concludes President Obama's prospects for re-election in 2012 are fairly strong. The Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll out Thursday finds while only 42 percent of respondents say they'd probably vote for the president if he runs again, just 39 percent say they'd vote for a Republican. Ten percent say it depends who the GOP opponent is. But when you put a Republican name into the equation, the numbers change — in favor of Obama. The president leads former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 47 to 40 percent. Sen. John Thune of South Dakota trails by 20 points, 47 to 27 percent. The president leads former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin 55 to 33 percent. NBC says that 22 percent spread is “an indication that the former Republican vice presidential nominee remains a polarizing figure who actually wins support for Mr. Obama.” The survey finds that nearly three-quarters of Americans personally like the president, even if they don't agree with his stands on the issues. Democratic pollster Peter Hart tells NBC the White House can see this poll as a pretty good review at the half-way point of his first term. “From my point of view, this poll is anything but a lump of coal in the president's Christmas stocking,” said Hart, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff. “But there is a lot of work to be done.” McInturff concludes Obama “retains very strong numbers with a political core constituency.” Another poll out Thursday gauged Obama's re-election chances in eight swing states, most of which he won in 2008: Montana, Virginia, North Carolina, Missouri, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Ohio. The Public Policy Polling survey found the president's chances remain good in each state, with Romney the potential candidate who could put up the best fight for Republicans. added by: TimALoftis

Obama’s job approval rating hits a new low

Is President Obama in serious danger of losing re-election in 2012? A new McClatchy/Marist Poll released over the weekend found Obama's job approval rating at just 42 percent — the lowest number of his presidency. One reason Obama's numbers have taken a turn for the worse: The president has lost ground with Democrats in recent weeks. According to the poll, 74 percent of Democrats approve of the job Obama is doing — a sign that he remains enormously popular with his base. But that number is down nearly 9 percentage points since November, according to McClatchy. Meanwhile his disapproval rating nearly doubled, moving from 11 percent to 21 percent in the last month. Among self-described liberals, his approval rating has dropped from 78 percent to 69 percent since November. At the same time, his standing among independent voters — the group that propelled him to the White House in '08 — remained dismal. Just 39 percent of independents approve of Obama's job performance, compared with 50 percent who disapprove. That's down more than 20 points since Obama was elected. Matched up against early 2012 contenders, the poll finds that if the election were held today, Obama would narrowly lose to Republican Mitt Romney, 44 percent to 46 percent — though that's within the poll's 3.5 percent margin of error. He would narrowly beat former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, 47 percent to 43 percent. http://news.yahoo.com/s/yblog_theticket/20101213/pl_yblog_theticket/obamas-job-a… added by: im1mjrpain

Ann Ward Interviews: Shocked, Grateful over America’s Next Top Model Victory

Should Ann Ward have been crowned America’s Next Top Model ? Yes, according to a majority of THG readers who voted in this poll . But the 6’2″ beauty wasn’t nearly as confident heading into this week’s finale against Chelsey Hersley. In an interview with The New York Post yesterday, Ward said: “I really thought Chelsey was doing better. It’s still unbelievable that I was even a part of the competition. It just goes to show that even if you are different, you can turn those negatives into really unique positives to be proud of.” Amen, Ann. Watch the 19-year old talk about her victory at length in the following video: Ann Ward Interview

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Ann Ward Interviews: Shocked, Grateful over America’s Next Top Model Victory

Fashion Face-Off: Chace Crawford vs. Ed Westwick

Chace Crawford and Ed Westwick star on Gossip Girl . Along with co-stars Blake Lively and Leighton Meester, they hit up the CFDA/Vogue Fashion Fund Awards November 15 at New York City’s Skylight Soho. The question before you is simple. Which young heart throb do you think was better dressed at the event? Take a look and vote in our poll below: Which Gossip Girl stud was dressed better?

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Fashion Face-Off: Chace Crawford vs. Ed Westwick

NYT: ‘Defeating Tea Party Nominees Imperative to Avoid National Embarrassment’

The panic over a looming conservative takeover of Congress in November is becoming palpable in today’s liberal media. Take Thursday’s editorial in the New York Times for example: For both parties and certainly the broad swath of independent voters, defeating this new crop of Tea Party nominees has become imperative to avoid the sense of national embarrassment from each divisive and offensive utterance, each wacky policy proposal.   Yep. According to the Gray Lady, defeating Tea Party nominees is imperative to avoid national embarrassment.  But that’s just the beginning: [F]or voters of all stripes, Tuesday’s primaries should illuminate the growling face of a new fringe in American politics – and provide the incentive for level-headed voters to become enthusiastic about the midterm election. Republican leaders have to decide if they want the tiny fraction of furious voters who have showed up at the primary polls to steer them into the swamp for years ahead. They have a chance to repudiate the worst of the Tea Party crowd and show that they can govern without appealing to the basest political instincts. So far, they have preferred to greedily capitalize on the nuclear energy in the land without considering its destructive effects. Democrats, especially beleaguered incumbents and the White House, need to counter the toxic message of the Tea Party so voters have an alternative. Not surprisingly, the Times went on to lambaste Delaware’s Republican nominee for Senate Christine O’Donnell and New York’s Republican nominee for governor Carl Paladino. As such, with Obama and the Democrats plummeting in the polls, the unemployment rate at 9.6 percent and likely climbing, and the Party that has been in power for approaching four years having absolutely nothing positive to run on, the Gray Lady has decided to run its own attack ad disguised as an editorial. It sure is going to be an interesting roughly six-plus weeks heading up to Election Day.

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NYT: ‘Defeating Tea Party Nominees Imperative to Avoid National Embarrassment’

Bozell Discusses Media’s Persistent Attack on Tea Party Candidates with FBN’s Stuart Varney

“This is what we are to expect, and it’s going to get worse between now and November.” That’s how NewsBusters publisher and Media Research Center President Brent Bozell reacted this morning on Fox Business Network’s “Varney & Company” to the media’s drumbeat of criticism regarding Tea Party-backed Republican nominees for office this November. Bozell agreed with host Stuart Varney that the media are incessantly bashing Tea Party favorites like Delaware’s Christine O’Donnell because they have to change the subject from the demonstrable failures of Obamanomics [MP3 audio available here ; WMV video for download here ]: The other side can’t defend itself. They can’t defend their agenda. They haven’t been able to defend their principles for years, because their ideas have been tested, they’ve all failed. The Great Society has all failed. They can’t defend this lurch into socialism. And now the numbers are coming back and the numbers are horrific. So they can do one of two things: acknowledge that they’re wrong or demonize the opposition to the extent that the opposition will be seen less favorably than they [are].

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Bozell Discusses Media’s Persistent Attack on Tea Party Candidates with FBN’s Stuart Varney

CBS: Americans Support Dem Economic Policies, Just Upset With Incumbents

While acknowledging bad news for Democrats in the latest CBS News/New York Times poll on Thursday’s CBS Early Show, White House correspondent Bill Plante worked to find a silver lining: “But when it comes to who’s at fault for the rotten economy there’s a disconnect. 37% say the Bush administration is most to blame. Only 5% blame the Obama administration.” Following Plante’s report, fill-in co-host Erica Hill spoke with political analyst John Dickerson and wondered: “37% of those in the poll said that fault for the bad economy lays with the Bush administration. 5% said it lays with the Obama administration. Does that mean that this Democratic message is getting through?” Dickerson explained: “People don’t blame the Obama administration and they also, in our poll, believe the Democrats have the better policies to deal with the economy and, also, they believe the Democratic position on tax cuts. Nevertheless, they want to throw out the people who are in power and the problem is there are just more Democrats in power.” One finding that was not highlighted was the fact that 53% of registered voters in the poll were in favor of smaller government providing fewer services.   Here is a full transcript of the September 16 segment: 7:00AM ET TEASE: ERICA HILL: The President’s problems. President Obama looks to rally his party before the midterm elections but faces a battle from the GOP over the economy and tax cuts. This as his approval ratings continue to sag, according to the latest CBS News poll. 7:05AM ET SEGMENT: HILL: We want to take a look now at politics and the problems facing President Obama. The latest CBS News/New York Times poll finds the President’s approval rating is now just 45%. And with an election coming, he is trying, of course, to turn that around. CBS News senior White House correspondent Bill Plante has the latest for us this morning. Bill, good morning. BILL PLANTE: Good morning, Erica. And his disapproval rating is 47%, so it’s an almost an even split. And with Congress back in session and things looking pretty bleak for the Democrats in November, the President went on the attack against Senate Republicans, whom he blames for holding up things that could – bills that could help the economy. [ON-SCREEN HEADLINE: Problems For The President; New CBS News Poll Shows Approval At Just 45%] BARACK OBAMA: We don’t have time for any more games. I understand there’s an election coming up. But, the American people didn’t send us here to just think about our jobs. They sent us here to think about theirs. PLANTE: The President has no bigger problem than the still sluggish economic outlook. In a CBS News/New York Times poll, 51% disapprove of his handling of the economy. Only 35% of Americans think Mr. Obama has made progress in fixing the economy. And 53% say he has no clear plan for creating jobs. But when it comes to who’s at fault for the rotten economy there’s a disconnect. 37% say the Bush administration is most to blame. Only 5% blame the Obama administration. And dissatisfaction with the performance of both Republicans and Democrats now drives 54% of people to say the country needs a third political party. At the top of the President’s agenda to help the economy, passing an extension of the Bush-era tax cuts for the middle class. Mr. Obama came to the Rose Garden following a cabinet meeting and attacked Republican leaders for not acting. OBAMA: They want to hold these middle class tax cuts hostage until they get an additional tax cut for the wealthiest 2% of Americans. We simply can’t afford that. PLANTE: Of course, the White House is not deaf to poll results like these, in fact their own internal polling shows much the same thing. So you can expect the President to continue the campaign-style rhetoric in the months leading up to the election, trying to connect his message to the public. Erica. HILL: Bill Plante at the White House this morning. Bill, thanks. Joining us now CBS News political analyst John Dickerson, who’s also in Washington this morning. John, good morning. Some really fascinating things to pull from this latest poll, including the fact that Americans really believe Congress isn’t performing well with their elected job. The approval rating really dipping for members of Congress. Clearly Americans are saying lawmakers need to step up here. JOHN DICKERSON: That’s right, Erica. I mean, the public does not like Congress at all and one of the interesting findings in the poll was there used to be a view where people would say that while they don’t like the institution of Congress but they like their local congressman or congresswoman. In our poll, it turns out that that’s not really so much the case anymore. HILL: They’re also, and Bill touched on this, but 54% of the country saying that this country needs a third political party. The Republican Party got a little bit of a wake-up call after the primaries, most recently, of course, Tuesday. But, in other ones that have come before that, who right now is seen as the face of the Republican Party? DICKERSON: Well, the wake-up call is under – is a matter of debate in the Republican Party right now. Some people think it was a wonderful wake-up call for insurgent populace, others think it was a big problem, electing people who can’t win in the general election but in our poll a huge number of people say there is no leader – above 60% say there is no leader to the Republican Party and that means Democrats, in their effort to tar the Republican Party, can try to find someone, make them the leader of the party. And they’ll choose, of course, the most unappealing character they can find. HILL: Both sides clearly have some calls for concern heading into November. How is that going to translate, though, when it comes to likely voters? DICKERSON: Likely voters are angry about the economy, they want something done. They don’t like either party and they are likely to just want to throw the ones who are in power out, and that hurts the Democrats the most. HILL: In terms of the economy, it’s interesting. Because the message from the Democrats, from the Obama administration, has been this is all sort of coming over from the Bush administration. 37% of those in the poll said that fault for the bad economy lays with the Bush administration. 5% said it lays with the Obama administration. Does that mean that this Democratic message is getting through? DICKERSON: No, it means there’s a disconnect in the polls. People don’t blame the Obama administration and they also, in our poll, believe the Democrats have the better policies to deal with the economy and, also, they believe the Democratic position on tax cuts. Nevertheless, they want to throw out the people who are in power and the problem is there are just more Democrats in power. HILL: Well, it certainly gives us a lot to talk about coming up on November. John Dickerson, great to have you here. Thanks. DICKERSON: Thanks.

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CBS: Americans Support Dem Economic Policies, Just Upset With Incumbents

ABC, CBS, WaPo, NYT Use Loaded Poll Questions to Tout Dem Unemployment Agenda

The New York Times today touted two polls that supposedly demonstrate support for the Democratic position on unemployment benefits. But a further examination of the poll questions reveals that their findings were inaccurate; the questions misrepresented the issues at play, and the Republican position on the matter. “Two national polls published last week suggest that most Americans are on [Democrats’] side of this debate,” wrote Dalia Sussman . How she knows that fact is a mystery, given that the GOP argument — that benefits should be extended and paid for with unused stimulus funds — was never offered as an option to those polled. Both polls asked, essentially, if respondents thought it was more important to extend unemployment benefits, or to preserve PayGo rules. Majorities said they thought extending benefits is more important. But under the GOP plan, the two are not mutually exclusive. Nowhere in either poll were respondents asked whether they would favor paying for extended benefits with unused stimulus funds. Neither the Times nor anyone else can accurately claim that voters favor one approach over the other since the GOP position was not an option. The first poll , conducted by the Washington Post and ABC, asked the following question: Because of the economic downturn, Congress has extended the period in which people can receive unemployment benefits, and is considering doing so again. Supporters say this will help those who can’t find work. Opponents say this adds too much to the federal budget deficit. Do you think Congress should or should not approve another extension of unemployment benefits? First of all, there are no opponents of an unemployment benefit extension. The only difference between the two parties’ positions on the issue is that Democrats want to borrow more money to pay for the extension while Republicans want to use unspent stimulus funds. It’s an outright falsehood that the GOP opposes extending unemployment benefits due to concerns about the deficit. The second poll , conducted by CBS News, asked: Do you think Congress should extend unemployment benefits for people who are currently out of work, even if it means increasing the budget deficit, or shouldn’t they do that? As in the previous poll, this question misrepresents the potential options before Congress. It offers a yes or no question on the Democratic position, but does not offer the Republican alternative. You can bet that if the questions had been framed accurately, so as to actually present the Republican position on the issue, the results would have been far different. Both polls should have asked, “Congress is going to extend unemployment benefits. Do you think the government should borrow more money to pay for those benefits, or use unspent stimulus funds?” Does anyone seriously doubt that a majority would prefer the latter? Unlike the Democrats’ position on the issue, the GOP favors both extending benefits and avoiding an increase in the federal budget deficit. And according to this same CBS poll, less than a quarter of Americans believe the stimulus created jobs, while almost half think slashing the deficit should be the federal government’s economic priority. The GOP position seeks to extend unemployment benefits while addressing two other pressing national economic concerns — the failure of the stimulus package and the skyrocketing national debt. But the Republican option was not presented to respondents by either of these polls, so neither they nor the New York Times can accurately present those polls’ findings as endorsements of the Democratic alternative.

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ABC, CBS, WaPo, NYT Use Loaded Poll Questions to Tout Dem Unemployment Agenda

CBS Reports Bad Polls for Obama, But Left Out Drop in ObamaCare Numbers

In the last two days, CBS has reported on its latest poll, emphasizing that Americans are pessimistic about an improving economy, with a little emphasis on how their measure of Barack Obama’s approval rating (44 percent) is his lowest in their poll. But none of the CBS on-air stories have mentioned the poll’s findings on how the approval of ObamaCare has shrunk by seven points. Stephanie Condon reported for the CBS News Political Hotsheet : Americans continue to be more likely to disapprove than approve of President Obama’s sweeping health care reforms, a new CBS News poll shows. While approval of the law is slightly higher than it was when the reforms were signed into law in March, support for the measure has dropped seven points in the past two months. Forty-nine percent of Americans now disapprove of the health care reform measure, according to the poll, which was conducted July 9-12. Thirty-six percent support the law. Americans continue to see little personal benefit from the health care reform legislation. By more than two to one, Americans think it will hurt (33 percent) rather than help them (13 percent). Forty-eight percent expect the reform to have no effect on them personally. The Early Show reported poll results on Tuesday and Wednesday morning, but not about health care. On Tuesday’s Evening News, reporter Dean Reynolds found a grumpy public (and tried to explain away their disapproval):   KATIE COURIC: As this crisis in the Gulf enters a 13th week, a CBS News poll out tonight finds more than half of Americans disapprove of how President Obama is handling it and his overall job approval rating is down three points, tying his all-time low of 44 percent. National correspondent Dean Reynolds is in Chicago tonight and, Dean, this seems to be the summer of our discontent. DEAN REYNOLDS: Boy, it seems that way, Katie. Pessimism just permeate this survey, along with a gathering sense that the man in charge is not doing enough to alleviate it…Indeed, in our new CBS News poll, the economy is seen as the biggest problem facing the country by far and specifically the lack of jobs. WALTER POWELL, CALIFORNIA RESIDENT: A job period! A job, you know? Most people they can`t get jobs. REYNOLDS: 52 percent say the president has spent too little time addressing the issue and 63 percent say his economic programs have had no effect on them personally. That’s politically ominous for Obama and probably frustrating given that a number of independent economic research organizations say at least 2 million jobs were created or saved by the stimulus . And yet 75 percent of the country believes the effects of the recession will last two more years or longer. On screen, the economic research organizations said to claim 2.3 million jobs saved or created are Moody’s economy.com and IHS Global Insight. But Reynolds is overstating those groups’ estimates, according to PolitiFact : Separately, the council’s report cited four independent analyses of the same question. These estimates were by the Congressional Budget Office, Congress’ nonpartisan number-crunching arm, as well by three private-sector economic-analysis firms. Here’s what those groups found: — CBO: Between 800,000 jobs (low estimate) and 2.4 million jobs (high estimate) saved or created. — IHS/Global Insight: 1.25 million jobs saved or created. — Macroeconomic Advisers: 1.06 million jobs saved or created. — Moody’s economy.com: 1.59 million jobs saved or created. In the report, Obama’s economic advisers argue that their estimates “are consistent with a broad consensus of numerous professional forecasters. The fact that such a range of public and private forecasters broadly agree with our assessment should increase confidence that the act is having a substantial stimulative effect.” But focusing on the 2 million figure, as Obama does, is a somewhat generous view of the data. CBS seems to share that “generosity” with the estimates. 

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CBS Reports Bad Polls for Obama, But Left Out Drop in ObamaCare Numbers