Tag Archives: dollar-deficits

Calafia Beach Pundit submits: (Click to enlarge) As 10-year Treasury yields work their way slowly higher (first chart), I thought it would be appropriate to revisit the long-term context (second chart). Yields are up almost 200 bps from their lows, but they are still very low by historical standards. To think that yields of 4% or even 5% pose a threat to the economy seems rather farfetched, when you consider that the economy grew strongly in the 1980s despite yields of 8% and higher, and despite yields being significantly higher than inflation. Similarly, it’s hard to see how the recent emergence of trillion-and-a-half dollar deficits has had any meaningful upward impact on yields. Complete Story