If you’ve been reading the Oscar Index , you realize that the Best Supporting Actress Oscar is this year’s wild card. Will Melissa Leo prevail in spite of her considerable pomp? Will Hailee Steinfeld come from behind with a victory? Will Helena Bonham Carter just be awesome always? It’s a toss-up. Movieline’s own Julie Miller and yours truly are mapping out the telecast’s most exciting award with a play-by-play of the nominee announcement, the winner, and the ensuing fight in the Kodak Theater.

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Movieline Plans This Year’s Best Supporting Actress Award, Second by Second