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Gulf Oil Spill: Rick Steiner Got BP Disaster Right From The Beginning, Warns…

I first spoke to Rick Steiner more than three months ago — about two weeks into the Deepwater Horizon disaster — after a source recommended I talk to him for a story I was writing about the spill as a teachable moment. Steiner is a marine conservationist and activist in Alaska who started studying oil spills when the Exxon Valdez ran aground in 1989, and never stopped. What Steiner said to me during that first interview was blunt, depressing — and struck me as having the ring of truth. Little did I know how true. “Government and industry will habitually understate the volume of the spill and the impact, and they will overstate the effectiveness of the cleanup and their response,” he told me at the time. “There's no such thing as an effective response. There's never been an effective response — ever — where more than 10 or 20 percent of the oil is ever recovered from the water. “Most of the oil that goes into the water in a major spill stays there,” he said. “And once the oil is in the water, the damage is done.” Steiner was also one of the first scientists to warn that much if not most of BP's oil was remaining underwater, forming giant and potentially deadly toxic plumes. I thought of Steiner last week, as I sat in a congressional hearing room listening to Massachusetts Democratic Rep. Ed Markey question Bill Lehr, a senior scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Lehr was one of the authors of an increasingly controversial federal report about the fate of BP's spilled oil that Obama administration officials misleadingly cited as evidence that the “vast majority” of the oil was essentially gone. Markey's persistent questioning eventually got Lehr to acknowledge that, contrary to the administration spin, most of the spill — including the oil that has been dispersed or dissolved into the water, or evaporated into the atmosphere — is still in the Gulf ecosystem. Then Markey got Lehr to recalculate what percentage of the spill BP had actually recovered, through skimming and burning. That amount: About 10 percent. In other words, Steiner was right. The other part of Steiner's prediction — that the government and BP would low-ball the volume of the spill — had already played out very publicly. BP and NOAA both opened with a 5,000 barrel a day estimate. NOAA officials stuck to that estimate for weeks, despite the fact that they had access to video feeds from the wellhead clearly showing how far off they were. More than two weeks after some of that video was made public, the government finally, grudgingly, upped its estimates to 12,000 to 19,000 barrels daily; then 20,000 to 40,000 barrels, then 35,000 to 60,000 barrels, before finalizing its estimate in early August at 62,000 barrels a day at the beginning of the spill, declining to 53,000 barrels a day toward the end. So it wasn't until early August, two weeks after the well was capped, that the public was officially clued in that BP's blowout had — by the end of June — become the largest accidental offshore oil spill in history; totaling almost 16 times the Exxon Valdez. I talked to Steiner again this week about where things stand now, what he expects will happen next, and what he hopes will come of it all. The first thing we talked about was that NOAA report. Steiner said it was obviously full of guesswork — and bad guesswork at that. “They shouldn't have even tried to issue these numbers right now,” he said. “I smell politics all over it. The only plausible explanation is they were in a rush to hang the 'Mission Accomplished' banner.” And Steiner suspects the 10 percent recovery rate for BP is actually overstated. The report based its conclusions on operational reports showing that 11.1 million gallons of oil were burned and 34.7 million gallons of oily water were recovered through skimming. But Steiner said the actual amount of oil recovered could be about half what the report claims. The oil-water mix, which officials evidently assumed was 20 percent oil, could well have been closer to 10 percent, he said. As for the burned oil figures, “they are simply coming from the BP contractors out there and then put into the Incident Command reports as gospel. As far as I know, there was no independent observation or estimation of those numbers.” And there's something else the government seems to have forgotten about when it comes to burning crude oil: “That's not technically removing it from the environment.” Steiner said. “It either went into the air as atmospheric emissions, and some of that is pretty toxic stuff, or there's a residue from burning crude that sinks to the ocean floor, sometimes in big thick mats.” Steiner had even more critiques of the report — and the response — but his central point was one of the same he made when I first spoke with him, back in May: Once the oil is in the water, the damage is done. “You just can't fix most of the damage caused in marine oil spills. You just can't do it.” (con't in comments) added by: samantha420

BP is selling the fake story that there’s no oil

BP's PR department is trotting out its paid shills to sell the false story that most of the oil spilled in their leak has been 'processed by nature' and has miraculously dissipated. Don't believe a word of it…. ~ Ohhhh … this is what BP's public relations department has been working on. BP is trying to sell the story that “everyone” is asking “where is all the oil?”. More than a few stories have popped up during my news reading that raise that question. One of the most galling articles was written up in Time.com by Michael Grunwald which carried the headline “BP Oil: Has the Damage Been Exaggerated?” His piece extensively quotes people who Grunwald admits are on BP's payroll. Not surprisingly, their quotes overwhelming call into question the real impact of the oil, actually downplaying the disastrous impact of dumping a few hundred million gallons of oil, toxic dispersants, and methane into the ocean. Let's look at some of Grunwald's piece. Marine scientist Ivor van Heerden, another former LSU prof, who's working for a spill-response contractor, says, “There's just no data to suggest this is an environmental disaster. I have no interest in making BP look good — I think they lied about the size of the spill — but we're not seeing catastrophic impacts.” Heerden, who gets funding from BP, suggests that a lack of data means the impact wasn't catastrophic. It ignores that the disaster is still relatively fresh and that loads of data will be collected in the future by scientists studying the leak. It also blithely flitters over the fact that BP has resisted scientists from collecting data at every step of the way — for one, we don't know exactly how much was leaking out because BP didn't allow flow-rate monitors to be put in place. Another bit of Heerden: Mother Nature can be incredibly resilient. Van Heerden's assessment team showed me around Casse-tete Island in Timbalier Bay, where new shoots of Spartina grasses were sprouting in oiled marshes and new leaves were growing on the first black mangroves I've ever seen that were actually black. “It comes back fast, doesn't it?” van Heerden said. No, it doesn't. Heerden is dissembling, grasses don't “come back” in mere months after a spill. You can still scratch below the sand in Valdez, Alaska, and find oil. It's the same for nearly every large oil spill in recent history. Yes, oil does eventually break down, but when a large spill happens, a lot of the oil can get preserved underneath the surface, screwing up the food web for decades. BP's spill was unique in how deep it was; it's thought that the cold, dark, deep waters the oil flowed into could act as a similar preserving agent. And even when the oil does get eaten by bacteria, it can cause massive dead zones by sucking out all the oxygen out of the surrounding waters. Another: So far, the teams have collected nearly 3,000 dead birds, but fewer than half of them were visibly oiled; some may have died from eating oil-contaminated food, but others may have simply died naturally at a time when the Gulf happened to be crawling with carcass seekers. In any case, the Valdez may have killed as many as 435,000 birds. NOAA says that for every one bird that was found oiled and dead, another 99 were brought out to sea and were uncounted. Those 3,000 dead sea birds mean that at least 297,000 other birds died unseen. That's not too far off from Valdez's official tally of 435,000 birds. Both are terrible numbers. Another gem: LSU coastal scientist Eugene Turner has dedicated much of his career to documenting how the oil industry has ravaged Louisiana's coast with canals and pipelines, but he says the BP spill will be a comparative blip and predicts that the oil will destroy fewer marshes than the airboats deployed to clean up the oil. “We don't want to deny that there's some damage, but nothing like the damage we've seen for years,” he says. Oh, I feel better. BP's single spill didn't do as much damage as decades of the oil industry tearing up the Gulf Coast. Don't you feel better? The one paragraph where Grunwald talks about the potential dangers — the long-term effects on the food web and ecosystem and the potential for huge dead zones — are followed with this breezy throw away: “People always fear the worst in a spill, and this one was especially scary because we didn't know when it would stop,” says [geochemist Jacqueline] Michel, an environmental consultant who has worked spills for NOAA for more than 30 years. “But the public always overestimates the danger — and this time, those of us in the spill business did, too.” It ends: Anti-oil politicians, anti-Obama politicians and underfunded green groups all have obvious incentives to accentuate the negative in the Gulf. So do the media, because disasters drive ratings and sell magazines; those oil-soaked pelicans you saw on TV (and the cover of TIME) were a lot more compelling than the healthy ones I saw roosting on a protective boom in Bay Jimmy. Even [Rush] Limbaugh, when he wasn't downplaying the spill, outrageously hyped it as “Obama's Katrina.” But honest scientists don't do that, even when they work for Audubon. “There are a lot of alarmists in the bird world,” Kemp says. “People see oiled pelicans and they go crazy. But this has been a disaster for people, not biota.” How can Paul Kemp possibly say that the oil spill isn't a disaster for “biota”, also known as all the plants and animals in the Gulf? Hundreds of millions of gallons of oil and nearly as much natural gas was released into the ocean. The spill is now killing everything in its path, leaving behind oxygen-starved waters and contaminating the food chain itself (oil has been found inside baby crabs). The oil that makes it ashore chokes off plant life and decimates birds and habitat. It settles in and is likely to cause death and disease for the next few decades. On top of the oil, BP dumped millions of gallons of Corexit, a toxic, oil-derived solvent and dispersant that helped keep the oil from floating to the surface and that has been shown to make the oil more toxic by making it easier for organisms to absorb. BP's oil spill killed a lot of life; it's downright preposterous for anyone to suggest that it was anything short of a disaster. Mac McClelland, who has been covering BP's oil spill better than almost anyone out there, was wonderfully blunt in a recent article in Mother Jones: “WASHINGTON (AFP) – With BP's broken well in the Gulf of Mexico finally capped, the focus shifts to the surface cleanup and the question on everyone's lips is: where is all the oil?” NEW ORLEANS (Mother Jones) – I don't know who the BLEEP (Shea's note: Mac doesn't say 'BLEEP', but MNN likes to keep the language PG-13, so I have to bleep out her much better original word) these everyones are, but I'm happy to help out them, and ABC, and this AFP reporter writing that due to BP's stunningly successful skimming and burning efforts, “the real difficulty now is finding any oil to clean up.” (the rest in comments) added by: samantha420

Tonight’s Northern Lights Will be Incredible, Thanks to Solar Explosions

The sun blasted mass quantities of plasma into space a few days ago, and the “coronal mass ejection” is headed straight for Earth. Which means we're about to get some incredible aurora displays. Harvard astronomer Leon Golub explains that predicting space weather is an extremely inexact science, but that these times are likely to be good for viewing the solar debris as it hits our magnetic field: * Wednesday, Aug. 4 – 3:00 a.m. EDT * Wednesday, Aug. 4 – 8:00 p.m. EDT * Thursday, Aug. 5 – 2:00 a.m. EDT Get the latest aurora updates via NOAA and Harvard http://io9.com/5603715/tonights-northern-lights-will-be-incredible-thanks-to-sol… added by: pjacobs51

Gulf Oil Spill Update: Just the Facts

“How much oil is still gushing? No one knows exactly how much oil is escaping BP's oil collection system (series of pipes drawing oil from leak to surface ships) and entering Gulf waters. Government estimates peg the leak at 35,000 to 60,000 barrels per day, which translates to between 1.5 million and 2.5 million gallons. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s nearshore trajectory predictions for the spill show it hovering off the Gulf Coast as far west as the Rockefeller State Wildlife Preserve and Game Refuge in the western part of Louisiana. The oil slick stretches as far east as Port St. Joe in northwestern Florida. NOAA is no longer forecasting the movement of oil out at sea, but the slick is not currently expected to enter the Loop Current, which could draw it around the Florida Peninsula and into the greater Atlantic. However, giant plumes of oil and gas are still present thousands of feet below the surface of the Gulf. The plumes are made of a mixture of oil, gas and seawater. They've been spotted radiating out from the blown well in all directions, University of Georgia marine scientist Samantha Joye said at a June 22 media briefing. The southwest plume has been traced over 20 miles from the well, while another plume extends more than 30 miles (48 kilometers) to the Northeast. The plumes are rich in methane gas, which is an energy source for some undersea microbes. These microbes seem to be noshing on the methane and multiplying, depleting the oxygen in the water column. In the long run, Joye said, that oxygen deprivation could affect the Gulf ecosystem by harming populations of plankton, the base of the oceanic food chain. (READ THAT LAST SENTENCE AGAIN!) How many animals have been affected by the spill? Gulf wildlife is still facing fallout from the oil spill. According to NOAA, 583 sea turtles were stranded in the oil spill area between April 30 and June 28. Of those, 432 were found dead and four died after being rescued. A total of 136 turtles are currently in rehabilitation centers, and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service is coordinating an effort to remove up to 70,000 turtle eggs from at-risk beaches. [Animals affected by oil spill] In the same April-to-June time period, 55 dolphins were found stranded in the oil spill area. Only two survived. While cause of death has not been determined, dolphin strandings are up this year, according to NOAA. According to U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and NOAA numbers, 1,185 visibly oiled birds had been pulled from Gulf waters and beaches as of June 29. More than 300 of those were found dead, as were another 829 without external evidence of oil. ” More at link! http://www.livescience.com/environment/gulf-oil-spill-update-100702.html added by: DeliaTheArtist

Oil Spill and the SE Florida Reef System; What’s at stake?

On April 25, 2010, just five days after the BP Deep Horizon oil rig exploded, Reef Check, The Perry Institute for Marine Science and Ocean Rehab Initiative Inc. responded to protect threatened critical wetland ecosystems. Collaboratively, these institutions of marine research and conservation developed the Pre-Oil Volunteer Survey, whose methodology is now widely used across the Gulf of Mexico and Greater Caribbean by groups including USGS, USCG, NOAA, EPA, DEP, The Audubon Society, The Nature Conservancy, Surfrider Foundation and others. Scientists agreed that the survey methodology must be easy to teach and understand, be at little or no cost to perform, and provide real and significant results for science. In fact, you may even own most of the equipment needed for the survey, like a camera, GPS, tape measure, magic marker and plastic cards. To date, hundreds of volunteers have surveyed critical habitats for oil-threatened species in their native wetlands (estuaries, sea grasses, mangroves, lagoons, rivers, inlets, reefs and beaches) along South Florida, from the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary to Indian River County. Just this week, teams surveyed reefs in Palm Beach and Martin County, and were pleased to discover a healthy reef system. Residents up and down the coast have volunteered their time to aid during the largest environmental catastrophe in U.S. history. Current and future volunteers are not only divers, but come from all backgrounds: children, elderly, activists, government employees, retired and working citizens. To support conservation efforts and learn more about the methodology and volunteer opportunities in Florida, contact William via email at www.oceanrehab.org or call 561-308-8848. added by: OceanRehabWilliam

BP Oil Spill Causing More Gulf Dead Zones as Methane Levels Increase

BP oil spill protest in New Orleans, photo: Infrogmation of New Orleans via flickr It’s only been a few days since NOAA-backed scientists forecasting the size of this year’s Gulf of Mexico Dead Zone –that area of ocean so deprived of oxygen than little can live in it–mentioned that it wasn’t clear yet what effect the BP oil spill would have on its size.

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BP Oil Spill Causing More Gulf Dead Zones as Methane Levels Increase

Above Average Gulf of Mexico Dead Zone Forecast by NOAA Scientists

File image of Gulf areas affected by hypoxia, NOAA No, it has nothing directly to do with the BP oil spill, but it won’t help things… Scientists supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration have just announced that the northern Gulf of Mexico hypoxic zone–that’s the Gulf Dead Zone to you and me, where there’s so little oxygen that it doesn’t really support life–is likely to be of above average size this summer, though it won’t set a new re… Read the full story on TreeHugger

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Above Average Gulf of Mexico Dead Zone Forecast by NOAA Scientists

2010 So Far Has Been Hottest Year on Record: NOAA

photo: Tambako the Jaguar via flickr. Continuing the trend from the previous month, NOAA reports that May, the period from March to May, and from January to May all have had the hottest combined global land and ocean surface temperatures since records began in 1880. … Read the full story on TreeHugger

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2010 So Far Has Been Hottest Year on Record: NOAA

Can Audubon’s "Frozen Zoo" Save Endangered Species?

Audubon retrieves oil-coated turtle from NOAA. Photo: Audubon Nature Institute With the recent declaration of the rusty grebe extinction , due to a non-native carnivorous snakehead murrel being introduced to its habitat, Lake Alaotra in Madagascar, as well as drowning in nylon fishing nets, there’s no chance of resurrecting it. Unlike Cuba’s Zapata rail, which is critically endangered by the mongoose and catfish – not as long as the Audubon Species … Read the full story on TreeHugger

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Can Audubon’s "Frozen Zoo" Save Endangered Species?

Homeland Security Had Proposed Cutting Emergency Response Budget Before Gulf Spill

Offshore Surface Oil Forecast Deepwater Horizon MC252, for Monday 31 May, 2010. Image credit: NOAA, DeepwaterHorizonResponse.com Most of the criticisms I’ve seen so far of how the Obama Administration was responding to the Gulf oil spill have been ill-informed ‘Monday Morning Quarterbacking’ by people with no field experience or background in engineering or chemistry. So I pretty much ignored it all, hoping that the pros were ignoring it as well. However, a recent story by the

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Homeland Security Had Proposed Cutting Emergency Response Budget Before Gulf Spill